If you’ve ever stared at a Tesla chart and wondered, “Where the hell is this thing headed?” — you’re not alone. I’ve been there. But this week’s chart is a textbook case of why mapping triggers and targets with real data (not just guesswork) can set you up for winning trades.
We’ll break down where Tesla just came from, why the current structure matters, and the exact levels I’m watching to trade both sides of the move. This isn’t hindsight cherry-picking — these levels are already on my chart, backed by Gamma Edge positioning and trend structure.
The Recent Move — Liquidity Sweep & Reclaim
Early August, Tesla flushed into liquidity lows — classic sell-side sweep. Those who panic-sold got trapped, and price began its slow creep higher.
By mid-month, we broke out of a descending triangle that had been compressing price for weeks. After a clean breakout candle, we backtested the level and held — a bullish sign.
But here’s the thing: holding a breakout isn’t the same as blasting higher. That’s why I’m focused on two key trigger zones where the next move will either ignite a squeeze or roll over hard.
Bullish Setup — The Clean Break Over 334
Bull Trigger: Close above 334 on the 3, 5, or 15-minute chart.
- 3-min: Early entry, higher risk.
- 5-min: Balanced entry.
- 15-min: Highest conviction, but you’ll be late to the party.
Targets:
- 🎯 TP1: 340 — trendline resistance from the 1H chart
- 🎯 TP2: 350 — major +GEX cluster and highest positive gamma level for the week
Why this matters: Above 334, dealer hedging flips in your favor. Long delta starts to expand, and with a clean VWAP reclaim, price can accelerate into the 340–350 zone fast.
Bearish Setup — Back Inside the Triangle
Bear Trigger: Break below 324 — giving up both triangle breakouts and sliding back into range.
Targets:
- 🎯 TP1: 315 — liquidity lows and sell-side sweep zone
- 🎯 TP2: Potential bounce… or straight into deeper structure at trendline support
Gamma confirms this risk: at 324, we drop into what Gamma Edge calls the “drunken sailor range” — a zone where hedging turns reactive and choppy. If 315 gives way, downside acceleration is likely.
Gamma Edge Confirmation
Thanks to our partners at Gamma Edge, we’ve got more than just trendlines to guide us. This week’s data shows:
- +GEX Peak: 350 → aligns perfectly with TP2 on the bull side
- Zero GEX: 324 → matches the bear trigger
- COTMP & Puts: Just under 315 → high-probability support zone if tested
It’s always satisfying when flow data matches the chart — it means you’re not trading against the invisible hands moving the market.
How to Trade This Week
- Map the levels (334 and 324) on your chart.
- Watch VWAP intraday — especially if we’re hovering at triggers.
- Don’t FOMO into a move without confirmation close on your chosen timeframe.
- Take profit at your planned levels.
And if you don’t have these levels prepped? You’re trading blind.
Level Up Your Trading Edge
You can keep relying on lagging indicators… or you can trade with real-time dealer positioning, gamma maps, and live alerts inside our Rawstocks Discord.
Want to go deeper on reading VWAP and gamma flips? Check out my breakdown in this VWAP-based entry blog.
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Final Take
Tesla is sitting in one of those spots where both bulls and bears can win — if they’re patient. The edge isn’t in predicting; it’s in preparing for both outcomes and executing without hesitation once the market gives you your trigger.
This is how I spot winning trades — not with magic indicators, but with clear structure, quantified levels, and the discipline to follow them.