The Tesla ($TSLA) chart just drew a hard line in the sand at $300.
If you missed last week’s recap, check it out here: I Sold a Million Dogecoin for a Loss, Then Watched It Hit $0.74 — it’s a painful but important reminder about conviction, timing, and missed opportunity.
Let’s break down Tesla’s trade plan for this week.
🔍 Market Structure & Context
- Spot Price: $301.31
- Gamma Condition: Call Dominated
- GEX Ratio: 1.05
- Expected Move: ±24 pts
- VWAP: Rejected Friday near $304–305
- Structure: Confirmed weekly downtrend below $307.50
🔬 Gamma & Moneyness Breakdown
| Level | Meaning |
|---|---|
| $325.00 | +GEX, COI: Major resistance & squeeze target |
| $305.00 | ZeroGEX: Dealer flip zone (now resistance) |
| $300.00 | -GEX: Gamma trap → acceleration risk |
| $295.73 | COTMP: First major put-based support |
| $280.00 | Charm/Vanna hot zone → panic levels |
Gamma map shows dealer bias flips long > $305 and short < $300. Every tick matters.
Below $300 = fire sale. Above $307.50 = room to squeeze.
🟢 Tesla Bullish Trade Setup
- Trigger: Reclaim $305 + break $307.50
- Confirmation: VWAP support
- Targets:
- TP1: $310.00
- TP2: $317.00 (EMA21)
- TP3: $325.00 (COI cluster)
Why: Reclaiming $305+ flips dealer flow positive and sets up a gamma ignition through thin liquidity zones.
🔴 Tesla Bearish Trade Setup
- Trigger: Lose $300 with volume
- Confirmation: VWAP resistance near $304
- Targets:
- TP1: $295.73
- TP2: $290.00
- TP3: $280.00
Why: Dealer gamma flips short. Negative delta and vanna flows increase speed as price drops. $280 becomes a real possibility.
📊 Trade Summary Table
| Setup | Trigger | Targets | R:R | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calls | $307.50 | 310 → 317 → 325 | 2.5:1 | Medium |
| Puts | $300.00 | 295.7 → 290 → 280 | 3:1+ | High |
⚠️ Tesla Summary
- Bias: Bearish
- High-Edge Zone: $300 → $295
- Intraday Focus: $305 = pivot, $307.50 = squeeze ignition
🧠 Ready to Trade Like an Institution?
Retail traders rely on RSI. Real traders use flow.
- Join Rawstocks Premium
- Watch our latest YouTube TSLA Trade Plan
- See What Institutions See: GammaEdge Access
🧢 Confidence = Mindset + Merch
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⏭ Next Read:
Want more flow-based setups like this?
→ This VWAP-Based Entry Changed My Game Forever